RDE754 MMO 1449 - Theory of change and evaluation framework for brown crab trial

1. Development of a theory of change (ToCs) for the Western English Channel CFU including timeframes. a. The ToC should include the risk presented by the 2026 Trade and Cooperation Agreement and the potential impact of introducing any effort measures that restrict potting effort. b. The target timeframe for pilot measures to demonstrate impact is two years. c. Targeted and appropriate workshops with internal and external stakeholders will be carried out to gather relevant information, utilising the existing working group in place for the Crab and Lobster FMP. 2. Review existing baseline data and develop indicators to enable assessment against a successful outcome including setting out the counterfactual. 3. Develop a comprehensive evaluation framework setting out the plan for a future impact evaluation. 4. Assess the evaluability of the ecological, social, and economic impact of the possible management measures.